Could Trump Do "We Can Do It Again" with Russia After the Middle East - Analysis

U.S. President Donald Trump may apply the Middle Eastern strategy to the war in Ukraine, cornering putin into a diplomatic dead end. Analysts and diplomats warn: the outcome of the crisis in Iran could affect military support for Kyiv. Full analysis available on NAnews – Israel News. The military strikes on Iran carried out by the U.S. and Israel in June 2025 did not just weaken Tehran’s nuclear program — they changed the geopolitical logic of the entire region. Despite declarations of strategic alliance with Iran, the Russian Federation did not dare to respond symmetrically. Analysts say: The Kremlin is afraid Why? Analysts say: The Kremlin is afraid — above all, of U.S. President Donald Trump's reaction. This opens up a new perspective: if Israel and the U.S. successfully used pressure tactics in Iran, can they do the same to Russia and end the war in Ukraine? Roman Bezsmertnyi: “Zelensky pushed the right button in Trump” Former Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister and diplomat Roman Bezsmertnyi emphasizes: Trump is a man of emotions and quick decisions. “You’d think — who is Medvedev to Trump? A melancholic nobody. But that comment got under his skin. It triggered him.” Moscow stunned politicians with its hypocrisy in declaring attacks on sovereign nations unacceptable — while itself systematically violating the UN Charter. Bezsmertnyi believes that Zelensky skillfully played this mechanism during a meeting with arms manufacturers in The Hague, showing how the Kremlin doesn't protest — it escalates threats instead. This is the moment to act. Ian Brzezinski: “If U.S. strikes on Iran prove effective, the Kremlin will receive a signal” Ian Brzezinski, former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Europe and NATO Policy, senior fellow at the Atlantic Council: “If the use of force by the U.S. and Israel proves effective, it will be a signal Russia and putin won’t be able to ignore.” He also warns: “Such escalation could inevitably weaken support for Kyiv, and the Kremlin will exploit that.” Valeriy Chaly: “Trump doesn’t understand KGB logic but respects strength” Valeriy Chaly, former Ukrainian ambassador to the U.S., notes: “He doesn’t understand how the mind of the putin regime works. It’s KGB thinking, fear-based, driven by intimidation. Trump doesn’t sense that — he believes in raw power.” If Trump perceives the Kremlin as a threat that can be stopped by force — he will act. Why putin got scared: Weapons for Iran exist only on paper In January 2025, Russia and Iran signed a strategic partnership agreement. However, not a single confirmed arms shipment was made to Iran despite U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets. Who helps Whom What is supplied Iran Russia Shahed-136, Shahed-131, Fath-360 Russia Iran — (only declarations) Rebekah Koffler, columnist at The Telegraph: “putin’s decision not to arm Iran shows his fear of the consequences. He fears this could increase Western military aid to Ukraine.” Two Scenarios — Two Risks - Escalation in Iran = increased aid for Ukraine - Air defense transfer to Iran = direct conflict with Israel and the U.S. Thus, despite its alliance with Tehran, putin is not ready to take risks — and that’s already a victory for deterrence strategy. “If Iran inspires the Kremlin only mildly, Trump and his military rhetoric — truly frighten it.” Can Trump “repeat” the Middle East approach with Russia? The answer is YES, if conditions align: - The U.S. avoids entanglement in Iran - Trump shows resolve - Ukraine and Israel stay in the White House focus Conclusion: Israel, Ukraine, and Trump — a new pressure triangle If the U.S. applies the Middle East model to Russia — everything changes. Ukraine may get a chance for peace. Israel — for regional stability. Read more analysis on NAnews — Israel News. https://nikk.agency/en/could-trump/